Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Covadonga		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.6	1.31
	10	4.75	1.3	Watch
	8.46	4.9	1.37
	8.47	4.46	1.37
	9.6	4.75	1.27
	8.2	4.6	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.75 ↑ (7.44)	4.68 ↑ (3.75)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
10.5%

Draw
19.7%

Pontevedra
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

24%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

23.4%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontevedra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Covadonga - Pontevedra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Covadonga is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pontevedra is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Covadonga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pontevedra is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.11.23	Coruxo - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Covadonga - Guijuelo	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Cayón - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Covadonga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.10.23	Covadonga - Langreo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLT
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.11.23	Pontevedra - Arandina	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Marino de Luanco - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Pontevedra - Rayo Cantabria	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Pontevedra - Real Oviedo B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.05.21	Covadonga - Pontevedra	0:3
04.04.21	Pontevedra - Covadonga	2:1

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