Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Rayo Cantabria		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.4	6.25
	1.38	4.75	7	Watch
	1.39	4.46	7.22
	1.4	4.46	7.22
	1.35	4.6	6.95
	1.38	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	4.53 ↑ (3.9)	6.87 ↓ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Cantabria
66.4%

Draw
20.2%

Covadonga
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

23.1%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

22.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Rayo Cantabria - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Rayo Cantabria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Covadonga is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covadonga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rayo Cantabria is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.12.23	Arandina - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Zamora - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Real Avilés - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Rayo Cantabria - Real Oviedo B	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLWW
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.12.23	Covadonga - Real Avilés	0:3 ✺
02.12.23	Real Oviedo B - Covadonga	5:0 ✺
26.11.23	Covadonga - Pontevedra	3:1 ✺
18.11.23	Coruxo - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Covadonga - Guijuelo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LLWLT

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