Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Sporting de Gijón B		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.98
	2.13	3.08	3.23
	1.52	3.95	5.92	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.88
	2.41	2.98	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.7)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	3.55 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón B
43.9%

Draw
29.6%

Covadonga
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting de Gijón B's performance.

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Covadonga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting de Gijón B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covadonga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Ferreres C. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 1, Elena A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón B won 2.

In recent matches, Sporting de Gijón B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Covadonga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón B won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
14.12.25	Avilés Stadium - Sporting de Gijón B	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Llanera	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Real Titánico - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Llanes	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Tuilla	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTTW
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
14.12.25	Covadonga - LEntregu	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Colunga - Covadonga	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Covadonga - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ceares - Covadonga	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.05.25	Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B	0:1
18.05.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	2:0
13.04.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	0:2
01.12.24	Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0
19.02.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	2:2
16.10.22	Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B	1:0
05.01.22	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	1:0

Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide