Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Referee: Silva H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Covilhã		Leixões

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.15
	3	3.1	2.15
	3	3.3	2.16
	3.1	3.3	2.17
	3.27	3.42	2.3
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.08	3.3	2.18
	3.1	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	2.19 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
29.9%

Draw
28.2%

Leixões
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

29.5%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

27.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	50%	40%

Covilhã - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Leixões will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0.

Covilhã has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leixões is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leixões could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leixões will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Leixões to win the game is with odds 2.21.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
22.10.22	Covilhã - Torreense	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	Estrela da Amadora - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Caldas - Covilhã	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.22	Benfica B - Covilhã	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.22	Leixões - Tondela	1:1 ✺
19.10.22	Académico de Viseu - Leixões	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Tirsense - Leixões	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.22	Leixões - Porto B	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Leixões	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
24.04.22	Covilhã - Leixões	1:1
11.12.21	Leixões - Covilhã	2:1
02.05.21	Covilhã - Leixões	0:0
03.01.21	Leixões - Covilhã	0:0
22.02.20	Leixões - Covilhã	0:0
15.09.19	Covilhã - Leixões	2:3
05.05.19	Covilhã - Leixões	1:1

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