Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4.2
	1.87	3.1	3.9
	1.87	3.25	3.9
	1.89	3.25	3.95
	1.95	3.45	4.31
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.91	3.35	3.78
	1.91	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)	3.24 ↓ (3.54)	3.99 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
48.7%

Draw
28.3%

Covilhã
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Estrela da Amadora - Covilhã Predictions

Users Predictions: Estrela da Amadora will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Estrela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covilhã has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.22	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Oliveira Hospital - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Leixões	2:2 ✺
12.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Tondela - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWT
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.22	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Caldas - Covilhã	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.22	Benfica B - Covilhã	4:0 ✺
11.09.22	Covilhã - Nacional	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Farense - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
15.05.22	Estrela da Amadora - Covilhã	0:1
09.01.22	Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora	1:3

Upcoming Matches