Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leixões		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.88
	2.20	3.00	3.00
	2.30	3.00	2.85
	2.34	3.15	3.40
	2.56	2.97	2.96	Watch
	2.30	3.00	3.40
	2.30	3.34	3.00	Watch
	2.25	3.10	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.57)	3.1 ↑ (3)	3.06 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
40%

Draw
29.8%

Tondela
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Leixões - Tondela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 77. Paulinho 4. Matheus Costa 63. Faria H. 15. Simaozinho 7. Agra S. 6. Balde A. 22. Araujo C. 10. Barbosa R. 35. Rochez B. 9. Bica	1. Canizares L. (G) 15. Carraca 4. Marques C. 23. Medina B. 6. Farru 8. Tavares H. (C) 97. Cicero 20. Felix H. 7. Cascavel 9. Joao Lima 12. Ze Ricardo
Substitutes
17. Arthur Baggio 80. Assuncao J. 47. Cardoso J. (G) 21. De Armas A. 3. Figueiredo L. 2. Fonseca F. 83. Goncalves A. 33. Luccas Paraizo 99. Moshood M. 88. Pina R. 30. Serif N.	5. Afonso J. 22. Almeida B. 14. Armendariz X. 2. Bebeto 28. Carlao (G) 37. Mateus Sarara 17. Novero G. 21. Ramalho G. 11. Richarllyson 13. Sithole Y. 19. Tomane 26. van der Heide A.
Coaches
Fangueiro C.	Costa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Agra S. 🟨,
38', Tavares H. 🟨,
45+5', Cicero 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Joao Lima ↓, Novero G. ↑,
55', Felix H. ↓, Tomane ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Bica ⚽,
72', Rochez B. ↓, Pina R. ↑,
72', Agra S. ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
76', Tavares H. ↓, Sithole Y. ↑,
79', Simaozinho ↓, Figueiredo L. ↑,
79', Barbosa R. ↓, Serif N. ↑,
79', Tomane 🟨,
83', Bica ↓, Moshood M. ↑,
86', Farru ↓, Bebeto ↑,
86', Marques C. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Novero G. 🟨,
90+2', Pina R. 🟨,
90+5', Ze Ricardo 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.

Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7:6	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Leixões - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Tondela - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
10.08.26	Benfica B - Leixões	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Leixões - Casa Pia	6:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Leixões - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Chaves - Leixões	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Marítimo - Leixões	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWL
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
08.08.26	Tondela - Amarante	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Rio Ave - Tondela	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	Tondela - Nacional	Canceled ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Arouca - Tondela	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Tondela - Moreirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.03.25	Leixões - Tondela	0:1
12.10.24	Tondela - Leixões	2:1
03.03.24	Leixões - Tondela	1:1
07.10.23	Tondela - Leixões	4:2
08.04.23	Tondela - Leixões	2:3
24.10.22	Leixões - Tondela	1:1
Taça de Portugal
22.11.21	Tondela - Leixões	3:1

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