Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Referee: Afonso J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Covilhã		Torreense

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.55	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.75	2.9	2.55
	2.75	3	2.55
	2.96	3.03	2.74
	2.7	2.88	2.55
	2.7	3.1	2.54
	2.8	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.2)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)	2.57 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
33.3%

Draw
30.9%

Torreense
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29.8%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covilhã's performance.

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torreense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torreense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	46.7%	26.7%

Covilhã - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Torreense will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Covilhã has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Torreense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
15.10.22	Estrela da Amadora - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Caldas - Covilhã	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.22	Benfica B - Covilhã	4:0 ✺
11.09.22	Covilhã - Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
18.10.22	Torreense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Belenenses - Torreense	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.22	Porto B - Torreense	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Torreense - Tondela	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

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