Match Info

SCOTLAND: Challenge Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday


	Cowdenbeath		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	10	5.5	1.22
	9	5.5	1.23
	12	6	1.22
	9.44	6.18	1.21
	9.88	5.83	1.23	Watch
	11	5.5	1.2
	9.45	6.25	1.23
	12	6	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.35 ↑ (5.81)	5.85 ↑ (5.25)	1.22 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cowdenbeath
8.9%

Draw
15.7%

Greenock Morton
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

17.4%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

18.6%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cowdenbeath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cowdenbeath's form might have worsened.

Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greenock Morton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cowdenbeath than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cowdenbeath, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Cowdenbeath - Greenock Morton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Garrity M. ⚽,
67', Delaney Z. 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cowdenbeath
Scottish Lowland League
20.08.24	Cowdenbeath - Cumbernauld Colts	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Cowdenbeath - East Kilbride	1:4 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.08.24	Albion Rovers - Cowdenbeath	3:4 ✺
Scottish Lowland League
10.08.24	Cowdenbeath - Gala Fairydean	4:1 ✺
03.08.24	Civil Service Strollers - Cowdenbeath	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWWL
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
31.08.24	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	Livingston - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
27.07.24	Greenock Morton - Alloa Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
25.03.14	Cowdenbeath - Greenock Morton	3:0
15.02.14	Greenock Morton - Cowdenbeath	1:1
19.10.13	Cowdenbeath - Greenock Morton	5:1
10.08.13	Greenock Morton - Cowdenbeath	2:0
23.03.13	Greenock Morton - Cowdenbeath	4:2
05.01.13	Cowdenbeath - Greenock Morton	1:1
24.11.12	Greenock Morton - Cowdenbeath	1:0

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