Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 25

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Cappielow Park (Greenock)

Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Scotland	BBC Scotland
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Usa	Paramount+


	Greenock Morton		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	7	3.5	1.5	Watch
	6	3.7	1.47
				Watch
				Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.53
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.5 ↑ (5.23)	3.67 ↑ (3.53)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
14.1%

Draw
24.9%

Falkirk
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

25.9%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

24.2%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkirk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Greenock Morton - Falkirk Predictions

Users Predictions: Falkirk will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mullen R. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 5. Baird J. (C) 6. Boyes M. 3. Delaney Z. 8. Blues C. 17. Lyall A. 22. Shaw N. 18. Garrity M. 10. Davies J. 11. Reynolds L.	1. Hogarth N. (G) 20. Adams K. 6. Donaldson C. 22. Graham L. 26. Mackie S. 8. Spencer B. 21. Tait D. 29. Miller C. 37. Arfield S. 23. Ross E. 16. Stewart B.
Substitutes
4. Corr D. 14. Crawford A. 21. Gillespie G. 20. McGinn N. 7. Moffat O. 33. Woods G. (G)	11. Agyeman A. 4. Lang T. 3. McCann L. 31. Munro R. (G) 10. Nesbitt A. 18. Oliver G. 7. Thomson M. 2. Yeats F.
Coaches
Imrie D.	McGlynn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Stewart B. 🟨,
18', Blues C. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Arfield S. ⚽, Ross E. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Ross E. ⚽, Stewart B. (A),
37', Boyes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Reynolds L. ↓, Moffat O. ↑,
52', Garrity M. ↓, Crawford A. ↑,
68', Ross E. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,
68', Miller C. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
78', Arfield S. ↓, Nesbitt A. ↑,
78', Tait D. ↓, Yeats F. ↑,
78', Stewart B. ↓, Oliver G. ↑,
80', Blues C. ↓, Gillespie G. ↑,
84', Lyall A. 🟨,
85', Ballantyne C. ↓, Corr D. ↑,
85', Lyall A. ↓, McGinn N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Greenock won 1.

Greenock is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Falkirk is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Falkirk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Falkirk have a series of home games.

In this match Falkirk is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Greenock won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:24 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Greenock won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:12 (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
18.02.25	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	1:2 ✺
31.12.24	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTTWW
- Falkirk FC
Scottish Football Championship
15.02.25	Falkirk - Ayr United	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Falkirk - Partick Thistle	5:2 ✺
31.01.25	Falkirk - Livingston	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Raith Rovers - Falkirk	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
19.01.25	Falkirk - Raith Rovers	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
02.11.24	Falkirk - Greenock Morton	6:0
31.08.24	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	2:3
Scottish League Cup
09.07.22	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	0:1 penalties
Scottish Football Championship
20.04.19	Falkirk - Greenock Morton	0:2
01.03.19	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	1:1
15.12.18	Falkirk - Greenock Morton	0:0
20.10.18	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	1:0

Upcoming Matches