Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 26

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Tony Macaroni Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Grainger G. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Livingston		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6	Watch
	1.45	3.95	6.2	Watch
	1.45	4.21	7.5
	1.46	4.1	7.39	Watch
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.41	4.2	7.42	Watch
	1.45	3.95	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.61)	4.11 ↑ (3.8)	6.89 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
64%

Draw
22.6%

Greenock Morton
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Livingston's performance.

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greenock Morton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Livingston - Greenock Morton Predictions

Users Predictions: Livingston will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 19. Finlayson D. 5. McGowan R. 27. Wilson D. 11. Fraser R. 8. Pittman S. 12. Brandon J. (C) 25. Tait M. 23. Muirhead R. 22. Shinnie A. 9. Yengi T.	1. Mullen R. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 5. Baird J. (C) 6. Boyes M. 3. Delaney Z. 8. Blues C. 14. Crawford A. 22. Shaw N. 17. Lyall A. 7. Moffat O. 11. Reynolds L.
Substitutes
3. Clarke M. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 10. Kelly S. 17. May S. 6. McAlear R. 26. Montano C. 21. Nottingham M. 15. Smith L. 20. Ubochioma M.	4. Corr D. 10. Davies J. 18. Garrity M. 21. Gillespie G. 20. McGinn N. 33. Woods G. (G)
Coaches
Martindale D.	Imrie D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Lyall A. ⚽, Crawford A. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Yengi T. ⚽, Fraser R. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Wilson D. ⚽, Shinnie A. (A),
37', 3 - 1, Shinnie A. ⚽, Muirhead R. (A),
45+2', Muirhead R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Moffat O. ↓, Garrity M. ↑,
59', Finlayson D. ↓, Clarke M. ↑,
59', Brandon J. ↓, McAlear R. ↑,
59', Muirhead R. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
70', Blues C. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
70', Reynolds L. ↓, Gillespie G. ↑,
71', Tait M. ↓, Kelly S. ↑,
77', Pittman S. ↓, Ubochioma M. ↑,
78', Lyall A. ↓, McGinn N. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, McGinn N. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Livingston won 2.

Livingston in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Greenock is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Greenock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Livingston is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Livingston to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Livingston won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Livingston won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:20 (average 1.1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
22.02.25	Ayr United - Livingston	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.25	Livingston - Cove Rangers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
05.02.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	0:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
31.01.25	Falkirk - Livingston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWWW
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
21.02.25	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
07.12.24	Greenock Morton - Livingston	0:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.11.24	Livingston - Greenock Morton	2:1
Scottish Football Championship
24.08.24	Livingston - Greenock Morton	1:1
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Livingston - Greenock Morton	0:3
Scottish Football Championship
07.04.18	Livingston - Greenock Morton	3:2
13.03.18	Livingston - Greenock Morton	1:1
27.02.18	Greenock Morton - Livingston	0:1

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