Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 20

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Cappielow Park (Greenock)

Referee: Anderson E. (Sco)


	Greenock Morton		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.4	Watch
	2.21	2.9	3.25	Watch
	2.27	3.05	3.63
	2.25	2.94	3.56	Watch
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.19	2.98	3.46	Watch
	2.21	2.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.32)	2.97 ↓ (3.22)	3.41 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
41.6%

Draw
31.2%

Hamilton Academical
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	29.6%	0%

Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Greenock will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Greenock: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mullen R. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 5. Baird J. (C) 6. Boyes M. 3. Delaney Z. 22. Shaw N. 8. Blues C. 17. Lyall A. 18. Garrity M. 9. Stuparevic F. 99. Adeloye T.	21. Lyness D. (G) 6. McGowan D. 5. McGinty S. 15. Lamie R. 16. MacDonald K. 14. Maguire B. 13. Smith C. 33. Hendrie S. 17. Robinson S. 18. Todorov N. 19. Shaw O.
Substitutes
4. Corr D. 14. Crawford A. 10. Davies J. 21. Gillespie G. 20. McGinn N. 7. Moffat O. 11. Reynolds L. 33. Woods G. (G)	1. Albinson C. (G) 10. Barjonas J. 11. Bradley S. 30. Gallacher T. 7. Henderson E. 3. Longridge J. 24. McKinstry S. 9. O'Hara K. 25. Telfer Ch.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Rankin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Stuparevic F. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Adeloye T. ⚽, Shaw N. (A),
45+2', McGinty S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', McGowan D. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
61', Todorov N. ↓, O'Hara K. ↑,
62', Adeloye T. ↓, Reynolds L. ↑,
72', Shaw N. ↓, Moffat O. ↑,
72', Garrity M. ↓, Crawford A. ↑,
74', Robinson S. ↓, Barjonas J. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Lyall A. ⚽, Reynolds L. (A),
85', MacDonald K. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
85', Smith C. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Greenock won 2.

Greenock is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Hamilton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hamilton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Greenock will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Greenock won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:30 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Greenock won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
15.02.25	Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	1:2 ✺
31.12.24	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
28.12.24	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TTWWT
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Football Championship
15.02.25	Queens Park - Hamilton Academical	1:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.25	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
01.02.25	Hamilton Academical - Ayr United	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers	0:3 ✺
25.01.25	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
26.10.24	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	3:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.10.24	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	0:1
Scottish Football Championship
10.08.24	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	0:0
11.04.23	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	2:0
14.01.23	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	1:0
08.10.22	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	5:0
30.07.22	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	1:1

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