Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Cracovia		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.9	3.8
	1.8	3.9	3.7	Watch
	1.89	3.83	4.18
	1.89	3.82	3.68	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.75
	1.83	4.02	3.97	Watch
	1.97	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.97)	3.78 ↑ (3.33)	3.87 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
50.8%

Draw
24.9%

Lechia Gdańsk
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cracovia (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cracovia will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cracovia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ravas H. (G) 79. Pila D. 4. Henriksson G. 66. Wojcik O. 25. Kakabadze O. (C) 6. Al Ammari A. 11. Maigaard M. 19. Olafsson D. 14. Hasic A. 9. Stojilkovic F. 17. Minchev M.	1. Weirauch S. (G) 16. Jaunzems A. 15. Dyachuk M. 3. Olsson E. 27. Vojtko M. 11. Mena C. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 79. Sezonienko K. 89. Bobcek T. 7. Viunnyk B.
Substitutes
22. Biedrzycki B. 23. Bzdyl F. 33. Cymerys K. (G) 77. Janasik P. 24. Jugas J. 70. Kameri D. 20. Knap K. 13. Madejski S. (G) 39. Perkovic M. 7. Praszelik M. 3. Skovgaard A.	72. Awad M. 21. Glogowski M. 81. Gutowski K. (G) 23. Kalahur M. 90. Kurminowski D. 99. Neugebauer T. 17. Tsarenko A. 6. Wendt K. 33. Wojtowicz T.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Carver J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Henriksson G. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Bobcek T. ⚽, Sezonienko K. (A),
25', Olafsson D. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Stojilkovic F. ⚽,
41', Hasic A. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
43', Dyachuk M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Zhelizko I. ⚽,
63', Minchev M. ↓, Bzdyl F. ↑,
63', Al Ammari A. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
63', Olafsson D. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
64', Kakabadze O. 🟨,
75', Sezonienko K. ↓, Wojtowicz T. ↑,
80', Kapic R. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
81', Henriksson G. ↓, Perkovic M. ↑,
87', Olsson E. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Stojilkovic F. ⚽, Kakabadze O. (A),
90+2', Bobcek T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 3.

Cracovia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lechia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cracovia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cracovia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cracovia: Wojcik O. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.25	Cracovia - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Lech Poznań - Cracovia	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Cracovia - Podbrezová	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Cracovia - Korona Kielce	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Cracovia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWWT
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	3:4 ✺
20.07.25	Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	5:3 ✺
02.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
04.05.25	Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk	0:2
03.11.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:2
22.04.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:2
08.10.22	Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1
11.02.22	Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0
14.08.21	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	3:0
08.05.21	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:1

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