Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 30

Date: 1 May 2023, Monday

Location: Stadion MKS Cracovia (Kraków)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Cracovia		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.4
	1.8	3.35	4.6
	1.83	3.59	4.73
	1.75	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.81	3.58	4.45	Watch
	1.85	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	3.46 ↓ (3.49)	4.41 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
51.9%

Draw
27%

Miedź Legnica
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	7.4%	11.1%

Cracovia - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: Cracovia will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Recent matches Cracovia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Miedź is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cracovia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cracovia is a favorite.

There will not play in Cracovia: Jablonsky D. (Knee Injury) Pestka K. (Injury) Rasmussen M. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.04.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Cracovia - Radomiak Radom	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	3:2 ✺
02.04.23	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTL
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.04.23	Miedź Legnica - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Miedź Legnica - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Miedź Legnica - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
16.10.22	Miedź Legnica - Cracovia	1:1
05.04.19	Miedź Legnica - Cracovia	2:1
03.11.18	Cracovia - Miedź Legnica	0:0
Polish Division 1
08.06.13	Miedź Legnica - Cracovia	1:3

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