Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 26

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Suzuki Arena (Kielce)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Korona Kielce		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.7
	2.05	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3
	1.98	3.53	4.05
	2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	1.97	3.5	3.78	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)	3.3 ↑ (3.17)	3.64 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce
45.9%

Draw
28.3%

Miedź Legnica
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.4%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	13.3%	20%

Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Miedź will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Korona won 0.

Korona is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Miedź is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Korona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Korona won 0 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Korona won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.03.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce	5:1 ✺
18.02.23	Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWWLW
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.03.23	Miedź Legnica - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
10.03.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Miedź Legnica	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Miedź Legnica - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
27.02.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
11.09.22	Miedź Legnica - Korona Kielce	2:2
Polish Division 1
18.03.22	Miedź Legnica - Korona Kielce	1:1
03.09.21	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	0:0
26.03.21	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	0:0
26.09.20	Miedź Legnica - Korona Kielce	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.05.19	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	0:0
22.12.18	Korona Kielce - Miedź Legnica	0:0

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