Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, Eleven Sports 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Pogoń Szczecin		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.31	3.54	3.03
	2.15	3.71	3.10	Watch
	2.39	3.38	2.74	Watch
	2.12	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.12)	3.51 ↑ (3.09)	2.92 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
40.9%

Draw
26.8%

Cracovia
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cracovia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 15. Ali H. 28. Wahlqvist L. 13. Keramitsis D. 32. Koutris L. 8. Ulvestad F. 19. Ndiaye M. 14. Pozo J. 90. Greenwood S. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 9. Molnar R.	13. Madejski S. (G) 21. Sutalo B. 4. Henriksson G. 66. Wojcik O. 79. Pila D. 43. Klich M. 11. Maigaard M. 39. Perkovic M. 25. Kakabadze O. (C) 9. Stojilkovic F. 17. Minchev M.
Substitutes
6. Bieganski J. 2. Huja M. 7. Juwara M. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 99. Kostorz K. 4. Leo Borges 17. Lis J. 18. Mukairu P. 10. Przyborek A. 61. Smolinski K.	6. Al Ammari A. 8. Aleksic M. 14. Hasic A. 20. Knap K. 19. Olafsson D. 7. Praszelik M. 10. Rakoczy M. 27. Ravas H. (G) 61. Traore B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.
Coaches
Thomasberg T.	Elsner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Stojilkovic F. ⚽,
35', Kakabadze O. 🟨,
45', Ali H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pozo J. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
56', Klich M. 🟨,
56', Kakabadze O. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
60', Ali H. ↓, Huja M. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Grosicki K. ⚽,
68', Wojcik O. 🟨,
68', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
73', Klich M. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
73', Minchev M. ↓, Hasic A. ↑,
76', Molnar R. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
85', Grosicki K. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
85', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
85', Maigaard M. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
88', Pila D. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Mukairu P. ⚽, Ulvestad F. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4.

Pogoń Szczecin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cracovia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Injury) Renyer (Inactive)

There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Cracovia - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 28.92%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.10.25	Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Kraków	3:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWLL
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.25	Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Arka Gdynia - Cracovia	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	1:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.25	GKS Katowice - Cracovia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
14.03.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	5:2
14.09.24	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1
30.03.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	3:1
23.09.23	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	1:5
08.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	3:2
17.09.22	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1
12.03.22	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1

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