Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Cracovia 2		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.33	1.47
	4.65	4.05	1.52
	4.85	4.07	1.56	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.5
	4.97	3.94	1.55	Watch
	4.2	4.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (4.2)	4.1 ↓ (4.4)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia 2
19%

Draw
21.9%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

20.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

19.3%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia 2 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Cracovia 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 0 - 1, Belych Y. ⚽,
83', 0 - 2, Belych Y. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Polak D. ⚽,
90+5', Thiago 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia 2 won 2.

Cracovia 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ostrowiec is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ostrowiec is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cracovia 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	11	5	5	1	16:9	7	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
17.05.26	Cracovia 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	3:3 ✺
13.05.26	Wisła II Kraków - Cracovia 2	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Cracovia 2 - Stal Kraśnik	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Cracovia 2	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Cracovia 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLWL
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.05.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Chełmianka Chełm - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wisła II Kraków	4:3 ✺
02.05.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.11.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Cracovia 2	5:0
27.05.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Cracovia 2	4:0
29.10.22	Cracovia 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:0
19.03.22	Cracovia 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0
18.08.21	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Cracovia 2	0:1
13.03.21	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Cracovia 2	1:2
12.08.20	Cracovia 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2

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