Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 31

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	3.1
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.1	3.75	3.2
	2.21	3.6	3.06
	2.15	3.83	3.25
	2.1	3.6	3
	2.1	3.68	3.16	Watch
	2.07	3.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)	3.68 ↑ (3.65)	3.1 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
44.1%

Draw
25.5%

Morecambe
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Crawley Town - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Addai C. (G) 3. Conroy D. 30. Wright W. 5. Ransom H. 6. Maguire L. 25. Tsaroulla N. 4. Kelly L. 14. Forster H. 8. Lolos K. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 28. Campbell A.	30. Mair A. (G) 12. Senior J. 5. Rawson F. (C) 4. Bedeau J. 3. Tutonda D. 20. Brown C. 38. Khumbeni N. 8. Adams J. 6. Songo'o Y. 11. Larsson J. 9. Garner G.
Substitutes
22. Adeyemo A. 10. Darcy R. 2. Gordon K. 20. Mukena J. 50. Olagunju M. 11. Roles J. 90. Sandford R. (G)	19. Edwards G. 22. Harrack K. 23. Melbourne M. 14. Slew J. 21. Smith A. (G) 17. Smith C. 18. Taylor J.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Brannan G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crawley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English EFL Trophy
23.01.24	Peterborough United - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
13.01.24	Crawley Town - Salford City	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Bradford City - Crawley Town	2:4 ✺
01.01.24	Crawley Town - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
29.12.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWL
- Morecambe
English League Two
27.01.24	Morecambe - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Morecambe - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Swansea City - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Morecambe - Harrogate Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.03.21	Morecambe - Crawley Town	3:1
17.10.20	Crawley Town - Morecambe	4:0
16.11.19	Crawley Town - Morecambe	1:1
30.03.19	Morecambe - Crawley Town	1:0
15.09.18	Crawley Town - Morecambe	2:0
10.03.18	Crawley Town - Morecambe	1:1
07.10.17	Morecambe - Crawley Town	0:1

Upcoming Matches