The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 29%
Draw 25.8%
Swindon Town 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
26.2%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
25.3%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
Crawley Town - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Chapman J. (G) 5. Barker C. 2. Malone S. 16. Russell J. 4. Bajrami G. 41. Gordon K. 26. Williams J. (C) 32. Richards T. 19. Pereira D. 44. Lolos K. 99. Orsi-Dadomo D.
1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. 22. Knight-Lebel J. 26. Batty J. 33. McGregor J. 8. Clarke O. (C) 18. Kilkenny G. 19. Snowdon J. 25. Borland A. 23. Drinan A. 28. Palmer O.
Substitutes
22. Adeyemo A. 38. Adeyemo T. 49. Darcy R. 20. Ferizaj J. 7. Forster H. 31. Odimayo A.
31. Bodin B. 30. Hoilett J. 24. Holman F. 3. Mabete F. 7. Nichols T. 44. Oldaker D. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Snowdon J. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
45', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Clarke O. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Lolos K. ⚽, Orsi-Dadomo D. (A),
57', Palmer O. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Drinan A. (Penalty Awarded),
69', McGregor J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
69', Borland A. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
78', Malone S. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
82', Russell J. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Bodin B. ⚽,
90+3', Lolos K. 🟨,
90+6', Lolos K. ↓, Adeyemo T. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 2, Gordon K. ⚽, Forster H. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
Crawley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Swindon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Swindon might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Tafazolli R.
(Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
Malone S.
(Injury)
Richards L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Swindon: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Swindon
10
3
2
5
9:14
-5
11
24
Crawley
8
1
2
5
8:15
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.42%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Chapman J. (G) 
Barker C. 
Russell J. 
Bajrami G. 
Williams J. (C) 
Pereira D. 
Lolos K. 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Kilkenny G. 
Borland A. 
Adeyemo T. 
Bodin B. 
Mabete F. 
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