The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 52.8%
Draw 22.8%
Crawley Town 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
22.1%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
21.6%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterborough United's form might have worsened.
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crawley Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterborough United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crawley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
0%
57.1%
Peterborough United - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bilokapic N. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 27. Katongo J. 37. Fernandez E. 21. Sparkes J. 22. Kyprianou H. (C) 4. Collins A. 18. Hayes C. 14. Randall J. 7. Mothersille M. 17. Jones R.J.
1. Wollacott J. (G) 5. Barker C. 20. Mukena J. 24. Mullarkey T. 10. Darcy R. (C) 6. Anderson M. 19. Kelly J. 12. Camara P. 22. Adeyemo A. 29. Showunmi T. 9. Swan W.
Substitutes
13. Blackmore W. (G) 9. Conn-Clarke C. 8. De Havilland R. 34. Mills H. 15. Nevett G. 35. O'Brien-Brady D. 10. Odoh A.
16. Beach E. (G) 7. Forster H. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 23. Ibrahim B. 45. John-Jules T. 11. Roles J. 17. Tanimu B.
Coaches
Ferguson D.
Elliot R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Darcy R. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Jones R.J. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Hayes C. ⚽, Jones R.J. (A),
32', Mukena J. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Adeyemo A. ⚽, Swan W. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 3 - 1, Kyprianou H. ⚽,
53', 3 - 2, Swan W. ⚽, Showunmi T. (A),
55', 3 - 3, Showunmi T. ⚽, Darcy R. (A),
61', 4 - 3, Hayes C. ⚽, Mothersille M. (A),
62', Sparkes J. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
63', Kyprianou H. ↓, Conn-Clarke C. ↑,
63', Randall J. ↓, Mills H. ↑,
66', Darcy R. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
66', Showunmi T. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
66', Swan W. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
75', Camara P. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
79', Anderson M. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
82', Dornelly J. ↓, Nevett G. ↑,
85', Jones R.J. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 4.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Peterborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Peterborough have a series of home games.
In this match Peterborough is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).
Watch
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Bilokapic N. (G) 
Dornelly J. 
Kyprianou H. (C) 
Hayes C. 
Wollacott J. (G) 
Anderson M. 
Kelly J. 
Camara P. 
Conn-Clarke C. 
Nevett G. 
Tanimu B. 
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