Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Cray Wanderers		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.55	3.15
	1.97	3.86	3.15
	1.95	3.9	3.14	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.1
	1.9	3.68	3.3
	1.96	3.8	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.79)	3.7 ↓ (3.85)	3.16 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Wanderers
46.8%

Draw
24.5%

Carshalton Athletic
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

23.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

23.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cray Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Mundele B. (Own goal),
28', 1 - 1, Bridle H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cray won 2.

Cray is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carshalton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cray may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Carshalton has had a series of home games.

Cray might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cray won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cray won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Carshalton: 4.11% Cray Wanderers: 3.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carshalton	11	7	0	4	18:19	-1	21
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18:12	6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Hashtag United - Cray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
09.01.26	Cray Wanderers - Aveley	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Brentwood Town - Cray Wanderers	1:4 ✺
27.12.25	Cray Wanderers - Cray Valley Paper Mills	5:0 ✺
20.12.25	Wingate & Finchley - Cray Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWWW
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	0:4 ✺
12.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	3:3 ✺
10.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Chichester City - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Carshalton Athletic - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.09.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	2:2
15.03.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	2:1
30.11.24	Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
03.02.24	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	1:2
11.11.23	Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
11.02.23	Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic	2:1
26.11.22	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	1:1

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