Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Carshalton Athletic		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.8	1.7
	3.93	4.13	1.69	Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.73
	3.75	3.62	1.79
	3.33	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.84)	3.77 ↓ (3.8)	1.77 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
24.5%

Draw
24.2%

Chatham Town
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

24.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

23.7%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Chatham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carshalton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Leathers A. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Macarthur M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 4, Anokye-Boadi K. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Carshalton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chatham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carshalton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chatham is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carshalton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Carshalton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Carshalton	15	7	1	7	23:28	-5	22
8	Chatham	13	7	0	6	26:20	6	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	3:3 ✺
10.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Chichester City - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Carshalton Athletic - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLTL
- Chatham Town
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Chatham Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Chatham Town - Dartford	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Cheshunt - Chatham Town	0:4 ✺
16.12.25	Chatham Town - Potters Bar Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Chatham Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:1
05.04.25	Chatham Town - Carshalton Athletic	3:0
21.12.24	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	2:0
02.03.24	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	2:0
14.10.23	Chatham Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:2

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