Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Chichester City		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.5	2.88
	2.11	3.81	2.85	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.8
	2.13	3.48	2.9
	2.14	3.66	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)	3.57 ↓ (3.69)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chichester City
42.8%

Draw
25.4%

Carshalton Athletic
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

24.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Chichester City - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Nzuzi N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Moore J. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Moore J. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17).

Chichester is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carshalton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chichester might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chichester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chichester won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Carshalton: 4.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carshalton	11	7	0	4	18:19	-1	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Chichester City - Hashtag United	1:0 ✺
16.12.25	Chichester City - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	St Albans City - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Chichester City - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTWL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.12.25	Carshalton Athletic - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	St Albans City - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.08.25	Carshalton Athletic - Chichester City	0:3
28.12.24	Carshalton Athletic - Chichester City	1:2
17.08.24	Chichester City - Carshalton Athletic	1:3

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