Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 6

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday


	Cray Wanderers		Horsham

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	3.24	3.79	1.95
	3.23	3.78	1.94
	3.1	3.6	2
	3.3	3.5	1.97
	3.3	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.47)	3.62 ↑ (3.36)	1.96 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Wanderers
28.3%

Draw
25.1%

Horsham
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.1%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cray Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Horsham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cray Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Horsham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cray Wanderers - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', Hester-Cook C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cray won 1.

Cray is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Horsham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cray won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Cray won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-8.

Last Results with these Odds

Horsham - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.56%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.08.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Cray Wanderers - Lewes	1:3 ✺
17.08.24	Hendon - Cray Wanderers	3:1 ✺
13.08.24	Cray Wanderers - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Hashtag United - Cray Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW
- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.08.24	Horsham - Dover Athletic	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Hashtag United - Horsham	1:4 ✺
17.08.24	Horsham - Potters Bar Town	3:2 ✺
13.08.24	Horsham - Chichester City	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Hastings United - Horsham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.04.24	Horsham - Cray Wanderers	2:0
16.08.23	Cray Wanderers - Horsham	1:3
25.03.23	Cray Wanderers - Horsham	5:3
22.11.22	Horsham - Cray Wanderers	2:2
26.02.22	Horsham - Cray Wanderers	2:2
08.12.21	Cray Wanderers - Horsham	3:1
01.02.20	Cray Wanderers - Horsham	2:1

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