The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cray Wanderers 43%
Draw 24.8%
Lewes 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
24.3%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
23.4%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Cray Wanderers - Lewes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 5th in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cray won 1.
Cray has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Lewes has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cray may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cray holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Cray has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:30 (averaging 1.5:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cray against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:15 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
Lewes: 4.83% Cray Wanderers: 3.29%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Lewes
10
6
1
3
15:11
4
19
12
Cray Wanderers
8
3
3
2
18:12
6
12
Last Results with these Odds
Cray Wanderers - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Lewes - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.52%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.