The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cray Wanderers 48.3%
Draw 23.5%
Lewes 28.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
24.3%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
23.4%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cray Wanderers's performance.
Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Cray Wanderers - Lewes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Cox T. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Yusuff A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Gondoh R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 5th in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cray won 1.
Cray is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Lewes have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Lewes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cray holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Cray has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:30 (averaging 1.5:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cray against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:15 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Lewes
13
8
2
3
20:14
6
26
19
Cray Wanderers
9
3
3
3
19:14
5
12
Last Results with these Odds
Cray Wanderers - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Lewes - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.52%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.