The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tropical Coriano 12.4%
Draw 22.3%
Desenzano Calvina 65.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.4%
25%
60.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
24.3%
62.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tropical Coriano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropical Coriano than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-3%)
Tropical Coriano - Desenzano Calvina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Procaccio A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
Tropical Coriano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Desenzano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Tropical Coriano has had a series of away games.
In this match, Desenzano is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tropical Coriano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.