Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Crema		Rovato Vertovese

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.98
	2.42	2.91	2.88
	2.38	3.08	2.87	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.47	3.12	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.08)	2.98 ↓ (3.19)	2.89 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crema
38.1%

Draw
30.5%

Rovato Vertovese
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crema's form might have worsened.

Rovato Vertovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rovato Vertovese than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Crema - Rovato Vertovese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Crema has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rovato Vertovese is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Crema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Crema is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crema won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Crema	9	2	3	4	9:16	-7	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.03.26	Imolese - Crema	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Crema - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Crema - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Tropical Coriano - Crema	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTTWL
- Rovato Vertovese
Italian Serie D - Group D
22.03.26	Rovato Vertovese - Tropical Coriano	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Trevigliese - Rovato Vertovese	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rovato Vertovese - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Progresso - Rovato Vertovese	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Rovato Vertovese - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Rovato Vertovese - Crema	2:2

Crema - Rovato Vertovese