Match Info

Serie B - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Cremonese		Padova

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4	Watch
	1.93	3.30	4.00
	1.92	3.15	3.95	Watch
	2.06	3.25	4.25
	1.92	3.35	4.08	Watch
	2.03	3.15	4.2
	1.99	3.18	4	Watch
	1.96	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.72)	3.24 ↓ (3.53)	4.06 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
47.8%

Draw
29%

Padova
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cremonese's form might have worsened.

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cremonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Cremonese - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Padova will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Padova (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 1 - 50%). Padova (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agazzi F. (G) 38. Vogliacco A. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 5. Luperto S. 21. Rocchetti Y. 16. Gerli F. 20. Pontisso S. 10. Licina A. 14. Berti T. 27. Vandeputte J. 90. Bonazzoli F.	22. Sorrentino A. (G) 27. Dellavalle A. 5. Lovato M. (C) 58. Pastina C. 24. Carissoni L. 14. Pompetti M. 21. Zuelli E. 8. Fusi P. 34. Cocchi M. 9. Moro L. 10. Caprari G.
Substitutes
6. Baschirotto F. 18. Collocolo M. 9. De Luca M. 11. Djuric M. 71. Elia S. 13. Fellipe Jack 12. Festa M. (G) 59. Liberali R. (G) 17. Lickunas A. 8. Lottici Tessadri S. 19. Nasti M. 2. Thorsby M.	17. Capelli A. 23. Di Mariano F. 72. Faedo C. 25. Galazzi N. 6. Giunti G. 15. Lasagna K. 74. Marcolini D. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 32. Sgarbi F. 18. Silletti E. 7. Varas K.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Licina A. (A),
5', 2 - 0, Licina A. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Pompetti M. ⚽, Carissoni L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 3 - 1, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
57', Caprari G. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
57', Fusi P. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
65', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
71', Rocchetti Y. ↓, Fellipe Jack ↑,
71', Vogliacco A. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
71', Licina A. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
72', Cocchi M. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
72', Pastina C. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
77', Vandeputte J. ↓, Collocolo M. ↑,
82', Moro L. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Padova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Padova has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cremonese is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Cremonese: 7.11% Padova: 2.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
28.08.26	Cremonese - Modena	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Cremonese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Cremonese - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWT
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
29.08.26	Padova - Verona	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Pisa - Padova	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Udinese - Padova	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cittadella - Padova	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Sassuolo - Padova	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.02.19	Cremonese - Padova	0:0
23.09.18	Padova - Cremonese	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
23.03.16	Padova - Cremonese	2:1
15.11.15	Cremonese - Padova	1:1
Club Friendly
31.07.13	Padova - Cremonese	3:3

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