Match Info

Date: 9 August 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Criciúma		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.5
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.63	3.15	5.6
	1.66	3.36	6.43
	1.65	3	5.8
	1.67	3.3	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)	3.24 ↓ (3.5)	5.73 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
55.7%

Draw
28.3%

EC São José Porto Alegre
16%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.3%

26.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

23.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Criciúma - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Criciúma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Criciúma is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie C
04.08.21	Ituano - Criciúma	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
31.07.21	Fluminense - Criciúma	3:0 ✺
27.07.21	Criciúma - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
23.07.21	Criciúma - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
17.07.21	Mirassol - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWL
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
01.08.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Botafogo SP	4:2 ✺
24.07.21	Ypiranga - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
16.07.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
11.07.21	Figueirense - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
04.07.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
06.06.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Criciúma	0:0
28.11.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Criciúma	2:0
25.09.20	Criciúma - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0

Criciúma - EC São José Porto Alegre

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Criciúma - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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