Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: Vuaden L. (Bra)


	Ituano		Criciúma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.87	2.8
	2.55	2.8	2.95
	2.79	2.95	2.98
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.67	2.93	2.93	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.4)	2.86 ↓ (3)	2.89 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
35.6%

Draw
32.4%

Criciúma
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Ituano - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (C) 2. Iury 3. Claudinho 4. Marcel Scalese 6. Leal Silva K. R. 5. Jose Aldo 8. Rafael Carvalheira 10. Yann Rolim 11. Helio Borges 7. Wesley Pombo 9. Matheus Cadorini	1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 22. Marcelo Hermes 33. Walisson 3. Rodrigo (C) 42. Miqueias 8. Arilson 7. Fellipe Mateus 11. Fabinho 9. Felipe Vizeu 31. Hygor
Substitutes
1. Deivity (G) 21. Emerson Urso 17. Felipe Saraiva 15. Frazan 16. Lucas Siqueira 20. Martha 13. Pacheco 19. Quirino 14. Rafael Pereira 22. Rhuan 18. Vinicius Balieiro	25. Alisson (G) 18. Crystopher 23. Eder 10. Gabriel Lira 6. Helder Santos 70. Italo Melo 13. Jonathan 5. Leo Costa 14. Matheus Mancini 77. Neilton 15. Welinton Torrao
Coaches
Marcinho	Tencati C.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ituano won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ituano: Bruno Xavier (Injury) Jonathan Vieira (Injury) Madison (Injury) Neto Berola (Injury)

There will not play in Criciúma: Fernando Canesin (Injury) Tony (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ituano won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
14.08.23	ABC - Ituano	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Ituano - Guarani	1:1 ✺
02.08.23	Ituano - Tombense	1:0 ✺
28.07.23	Ceará - Ituano	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Ituano - Avaí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWTL
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
12.08.23	Criciúma - Londrina	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Avaí - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
02.08.23	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Tombense - Criciúma	2:2 ✺
22.07.23	Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.05.23	Criciúma - Ituano	2:1
15.10.22	Criciúma - Ituano	3:0
02.07.22	Ituano - Criciúma	1:2
Brazilian Serie C
31.10.21	Criciúma - Ituano	0:0
10.10.21	Ituano - Criciúma	0:2
04.08.21	Ituano - Criciúma	3:0
29.05.21	Criciúma - Ituano	1:0

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