Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 35

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: De Oliveira F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Fanatiz


	Fluminense		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	6.25	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5.5
	1.65	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.67	3.75	5.92
	1.63	3.74	5.89	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.5
	1.66	3.78	5.41	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)	3.72 ↓ (3.95)	5.68 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
57.7%

Draw
25.6%

Criciúma
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

22.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Fluminense - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Criciúma will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 3. Silva T. (C) 29. Thiago Santos 6. Diogo Barbosa 5. Bernal F. 8. Martinelli 10. PH Ganso 21. Arias J. 19. Kaua Elias 11. Keno	1. Gustavo (G) 20. Dudu 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Angel W. 22. Marcelo Hermes 88. Gustavo Barreto 8. Newton 6. Ronald Lopes 11. Bolasie Y. 7. Fellipe Mateus 9. Felipe Vizeu
Substitutes
25. Antonio Carlos 14. Cano G. 30. Felipe Melo 31. Fuentes G. 35. Joao Neto 45. Lima 26. Manoel 77. Marquinhos 16. Nonato 7. Renato Augusto 90. Serna K. 98. Vitor Eudes (G)	25. Alisson (G) 45. Arthur Caike 29. Figueiredo T. 50. Jhonata Robert 13. Jonathan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 17. Matheusinho 85. Patrick de Paula 28. Pedro Rocha 35. Serginho 14. Trauco M. 33. Walisson Maia
Coaches
Mano Menezes	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Angel W. ↓, Figueiredo T. ↑,
38', PH Ganso ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
45+2', Fellipe Mateus 🟨,
45+3', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Bernal F. 🟨,
65', Felipe Vizeu ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑,
65', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
65', Kaua Elias ↓, Cano G. ↑,
66', Martinelli ↓, Lima ↑,
78', Keno ↓, Serna K. ↑,
78', Bernal F. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
83', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Marquinhos Gabriel ↑,
83', Ronald Lopes ↓, Trauco M. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2.

Recent matches Fluminense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Criciúma is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Fluminense is a favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Ignacio (Injury) Lele (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25:14 (average 2.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:6 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
22.11.24	Fluminense - Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Internacional RS - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Fluminense - Grêmio	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Vitória Salvador - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLTLW
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.24	Criciúma - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Internacional RS - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Criciúma - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Botafogo RJ - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
11.07.24	Criciúma - Fluminense	1:1
Copa do Brasil
31.07.21	Fluminense - Criciúma	3:0
27.07.21	Criciúma - Fluminense	2:1
15.03.17	Fluminense - Criciúma	3:2
09.03.17	Criciúma - Fluminense	1:1
Brazilian Primeira Liga
24.01.17	Fluminense - Criciúma	3:2
10.03.16	Fluminense - Criciúma	2:0

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