Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fortaleza		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.76
	4.10	3.30	1.75
	4.15	3.45	1.82	Watch
	4.96	3.52	1.83
	4.75	3.48	1.77	Watch
	4.9	3.45	1.78
	4.64	3.46	1.82	Watch
	4.7	3.6	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (4.02)	3.46 ↓ (3.74)	1.79 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
20.4%

Draw
27.2%

Palmeiras
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

24.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Fortaleza - Palmeiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (C) 22. Mailton 3. Lucas Gazal 6. Cardona T. 18. Fuentes G. 88. Lucas Sasha 5. Pierre 29. Rodrigo 31. Welliton 75. Rodriguinho 9. Miritello J. B.	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 26. Murilo (C) 43. Benedetti 56. Arthur Gabriel 7. Felipe Anderson 17. Marlon Freitas 30. Lucas Evangelista 37. Riquelme Fillipi 9. Vitor Roque 42. Lopez J.
Substitutes
4. Luan Freitas 10. Lucas Crispim 19. Lucas Emanoel 32. Luiz Fernando 13. Mauricio Junior 17. Nathan Fogaca 23. Neris 28. Paulinho 77. Paulo Baya 37. Ryan 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 11. Vitinho	40. Allan Elias 8. Andreas Pereira 11. Arias J. 29. Bilong M. C. 21. Kaique Pereira (G) 48. Larson 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 18. Mauricio 22. Piquerez J. 19. Sosa R.
Coaches
Autuori P.	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Rodriguinho (A),
41', 1 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽, Felipe Anderson (A),
44', 2 - 1, Rodriguinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
55', Vitor Roque ↓, Andreas Pereira ↑,
55', Riquelme Fillipi ↓, Arias J. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Murilo ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
62', Welliton ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
62', Cardona T. ↓, Neris ↑,
67', Rodrigo ↓, Vitinho ↑,
68', Marlon Freitas ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
70', Mailton 🟨,
82', Pierre ↓, Ryan ↑,
82', Rodriguinho ↓, Lucas Emanoel ↑,
83', Felipe Anderson ↓, Allan Elias ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Lucas Emanoel ⚽, Mailton (A),

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.

In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Fortaleza: Lucca Prior (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs (Surgery) Gomez G. (Muscle Injury) Jefte (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.22%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Copa do Brasil
02.08.26	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.07.26	Fortaleza - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Vila Nova - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Fortaleza - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil
02.08.26	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.26	Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras	0:4 ✺
26.07.26	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Coritiba - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
31.05.26	Palmeiras - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
02.08.26	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	3:0
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.25	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	4:1
20.04.25	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	1:2
26.10.24	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	2:2
26.06.24	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	3:0
26.11.23	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	2:2
22.07.23	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	3:1

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