Match Info

Date: 22 August 2021, Sunday


	Criciúma		Osasco Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.1	5.75
	1.47	3.4	7.5
	1.62	3.05	6
	1.65	3.1	7.46
	1.57	3.2	6.5
	1.62	3.42	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.52)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)	6.52 ↓ (6.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
57.5%

Draw
28.5%

Osasco Sporting
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

26.6%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

21.9%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Criciúma - Osasco Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Recent matches Criciúma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oeste is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oeste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Criciúma is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie C
13.08.21	Ypiranga - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
09.08.21	Criciúma - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
04.08.21	Ituano - Criciúma	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
31.07.21	Fluminense - Criciúma	3:0 ✺
27.07.21	Criciúma - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLW
- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie C
15.08.21	Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
08.08.21	Osasco Sporting - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
31.07.21	Mirassol - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
23.07.21	Osasco Sporting - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1 ✺
16.07.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
19.06.21	Osasco Sporting - Criciúma	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
29.11.19	Osasco Sporting - Criciúma	1:2
27.08.19	Criciúma - Osasco Sporting	3:1
Copa do Brasil
21.02.19	Criciúma - Osasco Sporting	1:0 penalties
Brazilian Serie B
02.10.18	Criciúma - Osasco Sporting	0:0
16.06.18	Osasco Sporting - Criciúma	2:2
18.08.17	Criciúma - Osasco Sporting	1:1

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