Match Info

Catarinense U20 - Round 18

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday


	Criciúma U20		Náutico Marcílio Dias U20

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.58	5.31
	1.12	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	2.83 ↓ (4.37)	4 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma U20
54.4%

Draw
26.7%

Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20.3%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

19.2%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Criciúma U20's form might have worsened.

Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Marcílio Dias U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma U20 than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Criciúma U20 is Qualified for Catarinense U20 (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Criciúma U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marcílio Dias U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marcílio Dias U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Criciúma U20 is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma U20 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
26.07.25	Avaí U20 - Criciúma U20	1:3 ✺
23.07.25	Nação Araquari U20 - Criciúma U20	0:1 ✺
16.07.25	Joinville U20 - Criciúma U20	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Criciúma U20 - Concórdia U20	0:0 ✺
09.07.25	Criciúma U20 - Nação Araquari U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLTW
- Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
25.07.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Figueirense U20	4:3 ✺
18.07.25	Chapecoense U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	3:2 ✺
12.07.25	Avaí U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	0:0 ✺
02.07.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Nação Araquari U20	0:3 ✺
25.06.25	Barra Santa Catarina U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Catarinense U20
01.06.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Criciúma U20	0:0
05.08.24	Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	1:0 penalties
28.07.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Criciúma U20	2:2
23.06.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Criciúma U20	0:0
21.04.24	Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	3:2

Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide