Match Info

EUROPE: Euro - Round 3

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	TV Klan
Andorra	beIN Sports 1, ZAP
Angola	TPA 2, TPA, ZAP
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Servus TV
Bangladesh	T Sports
Belgium	RTBF Auvio Direct, VRT 1
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3, Diema Sport 3, Diema TV
Cambodia	CNC, CTN, MyTV
Cameroon	Canal 2 International, CRTV Sports
Canada	TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TVA+
Cape-verde	ZAP
China	iQIYI, Migu
Colombia	Flow Sports 1
Comoros	ORTC
Cote-d-ivoire	RTI 3
Croatia	HRTi
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	DR 1, DR TV
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 1, Free, Molotov TV, TF 1, TF1+
Gabon	Groupe Gabon Televisions
Germany	Magenta Sport, Servus TV
Guinea-bissau	ZAP
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
India	Sony LIV, Sportstars 3, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	RAI 1, RaiPlay, Sky Sport 252
Japan	AbemaTV, Wowow
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	K24
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	TV3, TV3 Play
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka, SPOTV 2
Mali	ORTM
Mexico	Blue To Go Video Everywhere, Izzi TV, Sky HD, Sky Sport
Mozambique	TVM 1, ZAP
Myanmar	Skynet
Netherlands	NOS Live, Sporza, VRT 1
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Nigeria	NTA Sports, Sporty TV, SuperSport Football Plus
North-central-america	RUSH TV Caribbean
Norway	TV2, TV2 Play
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 2
Portugal	RTP 1, RTP, Sport TV2
Republic-of-the-congo	Tele Congo
Romania	Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, MATCH! TV
Sao-tome-principe	ZAP
Senegal	RTS 1, RTS 2
Singapore	Singtel TV GO, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Slovenia TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Maximo 1, SuperSport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	FuboTV, Movistar Plus+ 1, RTVE Play, Teledeporte, TVE La 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, TF 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	AIS PLAY, PPTV Sports, True Premier Football 4
Togo	New World Sport App, TVT
Tonga	DTV App
Ukraine	MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport, Sport 24 International
Usa	FOX Network, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Fox, FuboTV, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Vietnam	K+, SCTV Online, TV 360, VTV Go
World	JioTV app, Star+


	Croatia		Italy

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.4
	3.1	3	2.45
	3.2	3.1	2.42
	3.23	3.17	2.48
	3.23	3.17	2.48
	3.1	3.1	2.45
	3.29	3.19	2.52
	3.2	3.1	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.36)	3.12 ↓ (3.37)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Euro with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Croatia
30.1%

Draw
30.8%

Italy
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

28.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	43.4%	34.3%

Croatia - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Croatia will win (votes: 21 - 21.4%). Italy will win (votes: 34 - 34.7%). It will Tie (votes: 43 - 43.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.1% – 53.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Livakovic D. (G) Fenerbahce 2. Stanisic J. Bayer Leverkusen 6. Sutalo J. Ajax 3. Pongracic M. Lecce 4. Gvardiol J. Manchester City 10. Modric L. (C) Real Madrid 11. Brozovic M. Al Nassr 8. Kovacic M. Manchester City 25. Sucic L. Salzburg 9. Kramaric A. Hoffenheim 15. Pasalic M. Atalanta	1. Donnarumma G. (C) PSG 2. Di Lorenzo G. Napoli 23. Bastoni A. Inter 5. Calafiori R. Bologna 13. Darmian M. Inter 18. Barella N. Inter 8. Jorginho Arsenal 11. Raspadori G. Napoli 10. Pellegrini Lo. AS Roma 3. Dimarco F. Inter 19. Retegui M. Genoa
Substitutes
26. Baturina M. Din. Zagreb 16. Budimir A. Osasuna 5. Erlic M. Sassuolo 18. Ivanusec L. Feyenoord 23. Ivusic I. (G) Paphos 22. Juranovic J. Union Berlin 12. Labrovic N. (G) Rijeka 7. Majer L. Wolfsburg 24. Pasalic M. Rijeka 14. Perisic I. Hajduk Split 17. Petkovic B. Din. Zagreb 20. Pjaca M. Rijeka 19. Sosa B. Ajax 21. Vida D. AEK	15. Bellanova R. Torino 4. Buongiorno A. Torino 24. Cambiaso A. Juventus 14. Chiesa F. Juventus 16. Cristante B. AS Roma 22. El Shaarawy S. AS Roma 21. Fagioli N. Juventus 25. Folorunsho M. Verona 7. Frattesi D. Inter 6. Gatti F. Juventus 17. Mancini G. AS Roma 26. Meret A. (G) Napoli 9. Scamacca G. Atalanta 12. Vicario G. (G) Tottenham 20. Zaccagni M. Lazio
Coaches
Dalic Z.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sucic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pasalic M. ↓, Budimir A. ↑,
46', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
54', Modric L. (Pen),
55', 1 - 0, Modric L. ⚽,
57', Dimarco F. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
60', Modric L. 🟨,
70', Sucic L. ↓, Perisic I. ↑,
70', Kovacic M. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
73', Ivanusec L. 🟨,
75', Raspadori G. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
78', Pongracic M. 🟨,
80', Modric L. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
81', Jorginho ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
81', Darmian M. ↓, Zaccagni M. ↑,
82', Stanisic J. 🟨,
90', Kramaric A. ↓, Juranovic J. ↑,
90+1', Brozovic M. 🟨,
90+3', Calafiori R. 🟨,
90+6', Fagioli N. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Zaccagni M. ⚽, Calafiori R. (A),
90+10', Spalletti L. 🟨,

Preview

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Croatia: Vlasic N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Italy: Dimarco F. (Calf Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Croatia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia
UEFA Euro
19.06.24	Croatia - Albania	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Spain - Croatia	3:0 ✺
Friendly
08.06.24	Portugal - Croatia	1:2 ✺
03.06.24	Croatia - North Macedonia	3:0 ✺
26.03.24	Egypt - Croatia	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWWW
- Italy
UEFA Euro
20.06.24	Spain - Italy	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Italy - Albania	2:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.24	Italy - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:0 ✺
04.06.24	Italy - Turkey	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Italy - Ecuador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
12.06.15	Croatia - Italy	1:1
16.11.14	Italy - Croatia	1:1
14.06.12	Italy - Croatia	1:1

Croatia - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide