Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Crotone		Giugliano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.05	5.7
	1.54	4	6.13
	1.50	4.27	5.60	Watch
	1.57	3.87	5.75	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	4.08 ↓ (4.34)	5.84 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
61.3%

Draw
22.8%

Giugliano
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

22.3%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Giugliano aligns with the current prediction.

Crotone - Giugliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 20. Berra F. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 23. Groppelli F. 7. Vinicius 16. Gallo A. 96. Zunno M. 9. Gomez G. 27. Maggio M. 11. Murano J.	1. Bolletta L. (G) 23. Laezza G. 29. Del Fabro D. 24. Caldore M. 16. Improta R. 26. Forciniti L. 28. Prezioso M. 33. La Vardera S. 32. Balde I. 70. D'Agostino G. 9. Isaac Prado
Substitutes
80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 72. Cocetta N. 25. Guerra W. 2. Leo D. 19. Marazzotti F. 33. Perlingieri M. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 10. Ricci F. 61. Sala A. (G) 21. Sandri M. 8. Stronati R. 77. Vrenna M.	37. Acampa D. 10. Borello G. 97. Cavasinni G. 21. De Francesco F. 17. Esposito G. 85. Milan M. 25. Minei A. 90. Nepi A. 11. Njambe M. 44. Peluso L. 31. Russo A. (G) 14. Vaglica G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Balde I. 🟨,
26', Berra F. ↓, Leo D. ↑,
36', Improta R. 🟨,
38', Improta R. ↓, Milan M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
60', Isaac Prado 🟨,
64', Milan M. ↓, Borello G. ↑,
64', Isaac Prado ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
67', Groppelli F. 🟨,
68', Gomez G. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
69', Gallo A. ↓, Calvano S. ↑,
79', Maggio M. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
79', Murano J. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
81', Balde I. ↓, Njambe M. ↑,
81', Prezioso M. ↓, Peluso L. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Crotone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Crotone is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 2.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Crotone won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Coppa Italia Serie C
25.11.25	Sorrento - Crotone	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
21.11.25	Audace Cerignola - Crotone	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Crotone - Sorrento	3:1 ✺
10.11.25	Salernitana - Crotone	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Crotone - Trapani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWTL
- Giugliano Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Ternana - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
22.11.25	Giugliano - Casarano	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Giugliano - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Atalanta U23 - Giugliano	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Giugliano - Siracusa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
09.03.25	Crotone - Giugliano	3:2
27.10.24	Giugliano - Crotone	1:3
02.03.24	Crotone - Giugliano	2:3
25.10.23	Giugliano - Crotone	1:2
23.04.23	Crotone - Giugliano	3:1
18.12.22	Giugliano - Crotone	2:3

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