Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro (Giugliano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Giugliano		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.4	2.78
	2.58	3.40	2.53	Watch
	2.29	3.2	2.84	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.58)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	2.81 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giugliano
39%

Draw
28.2%

Casarano
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Giugliano - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bolletta L. (G) 23. Laezza G. 29. Del Fabro D. 24. Caldore M. 16. Improta R. 26. Forciniti L. 28. Prezioso M. 33. La Vardera S. 32. Balde I. 9. Isaac Prado 70. D'Agostino G.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 4. Lulic K. 19. Guastamacchia A. 24. Gega E. 77. Cajazzo I. 17. Maiello R. 80. Di Dio F. 29. Gyamfi B. 10. Chirico C. 18. Perez L. 21. Millico V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Gega E. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, La Vardera S. ⚽,
37', Maiello R. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Cajazzo I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', D'Agostino G. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
46', Del Fabro D. ↓, Peluso L. ↑,
46', Forciniti L. ↓, Borello G. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Guastamacchia A. ⚽,
62', Millico V. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
66', Perez L. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
73', Perez L. ↓, Zanaboni E. ↑,
74', Prezioso M. ↓, Njambe M. ↑,
78', Isaac Prado ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
86', Cajazzo I. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
86', Chirico C. ↓, Barone A. ↑,
88', Lulic K. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In recent matches, Giugliano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Casarano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Casarano - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.7%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
16.11.25	Giugliano - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Atalanta U23 - Giugliano	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Giugliano - Siracusa	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Giugliano - Benevento	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Monopoli - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 LWWWL
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.25	Casarano - Catania	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	4:1 ✺
01.11.25	Casarano - Monopoli	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.25	Siracusa - Casarano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL

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