Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Crucero del Norte		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.75	2.4
	3.1	2.95	2.2
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	3.05	2.47	2.64
	2.89	2.96	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.57)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	2.44 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crucero del Norte
30.6%

Draw
32.4%

Douglas Haig
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

31%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crucero del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crucero del Norte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Crucero del Norte - Douglas Haig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crucero del Norte won 0.

Crucero del Norte is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Douglas Haig is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Douglas Haig will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Crucero del Norte won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Crucero del Norte won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.04.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Crucero del Norte	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Crucero del Norte - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Racing de Córdoba - Crucero del Norte	4:1 ✺
03.04.22	Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
27.03.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Crucero del Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWLWW
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.04.22	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Atlético Paraná - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Tiro	4:0 ✺
03.04.22	Unión de Sunchales - Douglas Haig	1:2 ✺
27.03.22	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.10.21	Crucero del Norte - Douglas Haig	0:0
17.07.21	Douglas Haig - Crucero del Norte	1:0
01.02.20	Douglas Haig - Crucero del Norte	2:0
08.09.19	Crucero del Norte - Douglas Haig	1:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.05.17	Douglas Haig - Crucero del Norte	1:0
07.10.16	Crucero del Norte - Douglas Haig	1:0
28.02.16	Douglas Haig - Crucero del Norte	3:0

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