Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Douglas Haig		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.4	2.95	2.15	Watch
	3.47	3.02	2.17
	3.47	3.02	2.18
	3.8	3.1	1.85
	3.35	2.83	2.22
	3.7	2.9	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.83)	2.96 ↑ (2.81)	2.1 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
25.8%

Draw
30.8%

Gimnasia y Tiro
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

32.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

32.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Douglas Haig's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia y Tiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Douglas Haig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia y Tiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Douglas Haig will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Carlos Augusto Mercado Luna.

Recent matches Douglas Haig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnasia y Tiro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Douglas Haig have a series of home games.

Gimnasia y Tiro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Douglas Haig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Douglas Haig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.11.23	Douglas Haig - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Douglas Haig - Central Norte	5:0 ✺
05.11.23	Douglas Haig - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Douglas Haig - El Linqueño	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Douglas Haig	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTTL
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.11.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Douglas Haig	4:3
10.04.22	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Tiro	4:0
10.09.21	Gimnasia y Tiro - Douglas Haig	4:2
07.06.21	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1

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