Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday


	Douglas Haig		Defensores de Pronunciamiento

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	4.8
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.64	3.44	4.52
	1.65	3.44	4.53
	1.57	3.64	5.41
	1.67	3.25	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.23)	3.38 ↑ (2.88)	4.86 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
54.8%

Draw
26.7%

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

31.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

31.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Douglas Haig's performance.

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Pronunciamiento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Douglas Haig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Pronunciamiento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Medina G. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Olego F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 0, Sandona A. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Douglas Haig won 3.

Douglas Haig is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Douglas Haig will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Douglas Haig won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Douglas Haig won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.05.24	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	4:0 ✺
15.05.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTTL
- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.05.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	El Linqueño - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	4:0 ✺
28.04.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - 9 de Julio	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.03.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Douglas Haig	0:4
15.10.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Douglas Haig	4:0
20.08.23	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:0
24.06.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Douglas Haig	0:1
30.04.23	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:0
10.07.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Douglas Haig	0:3
27.03.22	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:0

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