Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 2

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Comandante Andrés Guacurarí (Garupá)


	Crucero del Norte		Sol de América de Formosa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.88	2.78	2.52	Watch
	2.88	2.62	2.56
	2.98	2.82	2.64	Watch
	2.88	2.71	2.54
	2.8	3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.82)	2.82 ↓ (3.05)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crucero del Norte
31.6%

Draw
32%

Sol de América de Formosa
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crucero del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sol de América de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Crucero del Norte - Sol de América de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colli J. (G) 11. Alvarez E. 6. Arias J. 3. Canzoniero L. 4. Dominguez B. 2. Duarte C. 5. Mayorga S. 9. Penazola J. 8. Sequeyra J. 10. Silva A. 7. Vera J.	1. Quijano F. (G) 10. Abecasis S. 11. Campero L. 4. Gomez N. 5. Lastra R. 7. Mendoza F. M. 9. Mune P. 6. Ojeda M. 2. Pardo F. 3. Pietkiewicz F. 8. Romero J.
Substitutes
14. Aguilar J. 17. de Olivera P. 20. Golomba N. 19. Perussato M. 18. Roa Meza J. J. 13. Rotela F. 16. Santa Cruz M. 12. Semeniuk K. (G) 15. Silva L.	16. Albarracin S. 17. Bravo B. 15. Britez G. 18. Di Martino B. 12. Ferreyra M. (G) 19. Olmedo M. 20. Paredes N. 14. Villalba D. 13. Villasanti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Canzoniero L. ⚽,
30', Mayorga S. 🟨,
31', Silva A. 🟨,
42', Albarracin S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, Abecasis S. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Campero L. ⚽,
77', Lastra R. 🟨,
90', Penazola J. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Penazola J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, Abecasis S. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crucero del Norte won 1.

Recent form of Crucero del Norte has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sol de América's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crucero del Norte won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Crucero del Norte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	5:1 ✺
28.06.25	Crucero del Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1 ✺
13.06.25	Juventud Antoniana - Crucero del Norte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLLL
- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Sol de América de Formosa	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Boca Unidos	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de América de Formosa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.06.25	Crucero del Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	0:1
06.04.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	4:0
07.07.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	3:1
11.05.24	Crucero del Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	2:0
24.09.23	Crucero del Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0
29.07.23	Sol de América de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	1:1
04.06.23	Crucero del Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1

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