Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Antonio Romero (Formosa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sol de América de Formosa		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.62	3.25	5.3
	1.56	3.28	5.55
	1.65	3.39	5.98	Watch
	1.67	3	5
	1.65	3.22	5.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)	3.22 ↑ (3.13)	5.19 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América de Formosa
54.5%

Draw
28.1%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

29%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

28.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+2%)

Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G)
5. Alcaraz A.
9. Di Martino B.
4. Lopez Alba R.
6. Medeiro E.
8. Mendoza F. M.
7. Mendoza M.
2. Pardo F.
10. Paredes F.
3. Pietkiewicz F.
11. Sosa J.
Substitutes
12. Arce L. M. (G)
15. Britez G.
20. Cabanas J.
16. Giraudo G.
18. Jimenez S.
13. Ojeda M.
19. Olmedo F.
14. Rojas F.
17. Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Di Martino B. ⚽,
18', 🟨,
23', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Jimenez S. ⚽,
78', 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Jimenez S. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sol de América won 2.

Sol de América is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarmiento's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sol de América is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sol de América won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sol de América won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Boca Unidos - Sol de América de Formosa	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Tucuman Central	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Defensores de Vilelas	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWT
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Bartolomé Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1
15.06.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0
12.04.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0
19.05.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0
23.03.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0
09.09.23	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0
09.07.23	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	3:0

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