The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crusaders 45.6%
Draw 25.3%
Bangor 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
24.7%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
23.9%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crusaders's form might have worsened.
Bangor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bangor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crusaders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bangor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crusaders - Bangor Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Crusaders (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crusaders (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Callister S. (G) 42. Anderson L. 11. Dunlop E. 2. Forsythe K. 3. Kelly G. 22. McKay R. 18. Reid A. 14. Rocks D. 5. Rough S. 15. Wardell O. 6. Weir R.
1. Deane G. (G) 18. Devlin O. 4. Francis L. 6. Harrison L. 29. Hughes I. 5. Lynch H. 12. McCullough S. 20. McRoberts L. 16. Mitchell A. 8. Mulvenna T. 3. Neale R.
Substitutes
43. Barr L. 4. Blaney J. 17. Bond K. 12. Doherty J. 8. Jewitt-White H. 27. Maguire T. 16. Williamson J.
9. Arthurs B. 21. Boyd J. 7. Hassin L. 2. McGuinness S. 15. O'Mahony J. 13. Solis Grogan P. (G) 23. Strachan M.
Coaches
Caddell D.
Feeney L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Reid A. ⚽,
30', Kelly G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Reid A. 🟨,
58', Anderson L. 🟨,
65', McRoberts L. ↓, Arthurs B. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Arthurs B. ⚽,
71', Lynch H. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
79', Devlin O. ↓, Hassin L. ↑,
81', Harrison L. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Wardell O. ⚽,
87', Hughes I. ↓, McGuinness S. ↑,
87', Mulvenna T. ↓, Boyd J. ↑,
87', Lynch H. ↓, O'Mahony J. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 11th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Crusaders has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Crusaders against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
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Callister S. (G) 
Anderson L. 
Dunlop E. 
Kelly G. 
Hughes I. 
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