Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 7

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Seaview (Belfast)

Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Crusaders		Dungannon Swifts

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.60	1.93
	3.15	3.40	1.95
	3.59	3.69	2.04
	3.36	3.67	1.94	Watch
	3.40	3.65	2.01
	3.36	3.45	1.93
	3.25	3.60	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.31)	3.58 ↑ (3.58)	1.96 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crusaders
27.5%

Draw
25.7%

Dungannon Swifts
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

24.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dungannon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Callister S. (G) 43. Barr L. 12. Doherty J. 11. Dunlop E. 2. Forsythe K. 8. Jewitt-White H. 22. McKay R. 18. Reid A. 5. Rough S. 15. Wardell O. 6. Weir R.	1. Dunne D. (G) 13. Alves L. 34. Bigirimana G. (C) 17. Glackin J. 6. Kelly T. 15. Lowe K. 67. McAllister S. 5. McKeown B. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 3. Scott J. 23. Wallace D.
Substitutes
42. Anderson L. 34. Beattie C. 4. Blaney J. 17. Bond K. 31. Brown R. (G) 27. Maguire T. 20. Mulholland M.	10. Dillon K. 14. Glenny A. 16. Gordon S. 12. Henderson A. (G) 2. McGinty C. 9. Mitchell A. 7. Smith C.
Coaches
Caddell D.	McAree R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Weir R. 🟨,
22', Scott J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
67', Dunne D. 🟥,
68', Alves L. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
72', Doherty J. ↓, Anderson L. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Weir R. ⚽,
76', Reid A. ↓, Maguire T. ↑,
78', Kelly T. ↓, Gordon S. ↑,
78', Glackin J. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
83', Wallace D. 🟨,
84', Scott J. ↓, Dillon K. ↑,
84', Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Rough S. ⚽,
90+2', Rough S. 🟨,
90+4', Maguire T. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 0, Anderson L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 2.

Crusaders has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dungannon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dungannon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 47:21. (average 2.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:12. (average 3:1.3).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Crusaders: 0.84% Dungannon: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Crusaders	10	5	0	5	15:18	-3	15
7	Dungannon	9	4	1	4	9:10	-1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
12.09.26	Crusaders - Limavady United	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Coleraine - Crusaders	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Glentoran - Crusaders	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Crusaders - Portadown	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Crusaders - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 LLWWW
- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
12.09.26	Dungannon Swifts - Linfield	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Limavady United - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Dungannon Swifts - Bangor	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
03.01.26	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	2:0
01.11.25	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	2:0
13.09.25	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	0:3
26.04.25	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	1:0
11.01.25	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	1:5
Northern Irish League Cup
03.12.24	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	4:2 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
30.11.24	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	2:2

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