Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Marshall T. (Nir)


	Linfield		Crusaders

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	5.50	8.25
	1.27	5.35	7.80
	1.32	5.51	8.62
	1.26	5.62	8.63	Watch
	1.30	5.45	8.50
	1.28	5.57	9.47
	1.27	5.40	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.26)	5.49 ↓ (5.68)	8.44 ↓ (8.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linfield
72.1%

Draw
16.9%

Crusaders
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

16.2%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Linfield - Crusaders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johns Ch. (G) 26. Baird I. 19. Brennan R. 10. Frizzell A. 15. Hall B. 8. McClean K. (C) 34. McCullough D. 27. McGee E. 30. Moore K. 14. Nelson K. 16. Wells D.	1. Callister S. (G) 43. Barr L. 12. Doherty J. 11. Dunlop E. 2. Forsythe K. 8. Jewitt-White H. 18. Reid A. 14. Rocks D. 5. Rough S. 15. Wardell O. 6. Weir R.
Substitutes
36. Annett R. 24. Brown S. 66. Chapman C. 18. Glavin A. (G) 7. Millar K. 5. Shields C. . Temetan M.	42. Anderson L. 34. Beattie C. 4. Blaney J. 17. Bond K. 3. Kelly G. 27. Maguire T. 20. Mulholland M.
Coaches
Healy D.	Caddell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Nelson K. ⚽,
59', Wells D. ↓, Millar K. ↑,
64', Baird I. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
70', Millar K. 🟥,
75', Brennan R. ↓, Shields C. ↑,
84', Nelson K. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
84', Moore K. ↓, Chapman C. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 5.

Linfield is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Crusaders has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The betting markets point to Linfield as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Linfield has recorded 15 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:15 (averaging 1.7:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Linfield against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 21:5 goals (averaging 1.9:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Linfield: 25.98% Crusaders: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12:6	6	22
5	Crusaders	10	5	0	5	15:18	-3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
15.09.26	Portadown - Linfield	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Dungannon Swifts - Linfield	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Linfield - Carrick Rangers	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Limavady United - Linfield	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWW
- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
15.09.26	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Crusaders - Limavady United	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Coleraine - Crusaders	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Glentoran - Crusaders	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Crusaders - Portadown	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
24.01.26	Crusaders - Linfield	0:1
13.12.25	Linfield - Crusaders	4:0
25.11.25	Linfield - Crusaders	1:0
01.04.25	Linfield - Crusaders	3:1
07.03.25	Crusaders - Linfield	0:2
28.01.25	Linfield - Crusaders	2:1
12.10.24	Crusaders - Linfield	2:3

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