Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 26

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Seaview (Belfast)

Referee: Boyce E. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Crusaders		Linfield

	1	X	2
	6.1	4.55	1.41
	7.15	4.84	1.4
	6.52	4.86	1.37	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.4
	6.22	4.67	1.44
	6.66	4.75	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.53 ↑ (6.31)	4.68 ↑ (4.44)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crusaders
14.2%

Draw
19.8%

Linfield
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

20.6%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

20%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Crusaders - Linfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dibaga M. (G) 42. Anderson L. (C) 43. Barr L. 9. Brooks A. 22. Bruce C. 19. Bryden F. 11. Dunlop E. 12. Easton E. 8. Jewitt-White H. 21. Nixon S. 16. Williamson J.	1. Johns Ch. (G) 10. Allen C. 21. Archer J. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 6. Gorrin A. 15. Hall B. 33. Leahy D. 8. McClean K. (C) 34. McCullough D. 27. McGee E. 20. Yates M.
Substitutes
24. Barr L. 26. Donnelly R. 62. James J. 27. Maguire T. 23. McCart O. 10. Thorndike F. 33. Tuffey J. (G)	26. Baird I. 24. Brown S. 23. Frizzell A. 7. Millar K. 22. Mulgrew J. 32. Taylor S. 51. Walsh D. (G)
Coaches
Caddell D.	Healy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Fitzpatrick M. ⚽,
17', Leahy D. 🟨,
36', Gorrin A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Nixon S. ↓, Thorndike F. ↑,
62', Jewitt-White H. ↓, Maguire T. ↑,
66', Yates M. ↓, Frizzell A. ↑,
66', Gorrin A. ↓, Mulgrew J. ↑,
79', Bruce C. ↓, James J. ↑,
80', Allen C. ↓, Millar K. ↑,
90+3', Barr L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Crusaders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Linfield is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Linfield: 25.98% Crusaders: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12:6	6	22
5	Crusaders	10	5	0	5	15:18	-3	15

Last Results with these Odds

Linfield - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 64.85%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
17.01.26	Coleraine - Crusaders	5:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
09.01.26	Coleraine - Crusaders	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
03.01.26	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Crusaders - Carrick Rangers	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Cliftonville - Crusaders	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLWTW
- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
16.01.26	Linfield - Larne	0:0 ✺
13.01.26	Carrick Rangers - Linfield	0:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
10.01.26	Linfield - Bangor	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
03.01.26	Linfield - Bangor	6:1 ✺
30.12.25	Coleraine - Linfield	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
13.12.25	Linfield - Crusaders	4:0
25.11.25	Linfield - Crusaders	1:0
01.04.25	Linfield - Crusaders	3:1
07.03.25	Crusaders - Linfield	0:2
28.01.25	Linfield - Crusaders	2:1
12.10.24	Crusaders - Linfield	2:3
12.04.24	Crusaders - Linfield	1:2

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