The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carrick Rangers 24.6%
Draw 24.5%
Linfield 50.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.7%
24.8%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
24.3%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Carrick Rangers - Linfield Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gartside N. (G) 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 6. Callacher J. 19. Crowe J. (C) 5. Forsythe J. 9. Gibson D. 22. Heatley P. 10. Lecky A. 3. Nelson K. 24. Snoddy M. 14. Steele A.
1. Johns Ch. (G) 26. Baird I. 19. Brennan R. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 15. Hall B. 8. McClean K. 34. McCullough D. 27. McGee E. 30. Moore K. 14. Nelson K. 5. Shields C.
Substitutes
25. Agnew D. (G) 20. Cherry K. 8. Clucas S. 30. Hawthorne C. 11. Maciulaitis N. 17. Moore J. 7. O'Conchubhair D.
24. Brown S. 66. Chapman C. 10. Frizzell A. 18. Glavin A. (G) 22. Mulgrew J. 4. Nolan R. 16. Wells D.
Coaches
Baxter S.
Healy D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Moore K. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Heatley P. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Fitzpatrick M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 2, Gibson D. ⚽,
61', Shields C. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Nelson K. ↓, Frizzell A. ↑,
69', Brennan R. ↓, Wells D. ↑,
76', Snoddy M. ↓, Clucas S. ↑,
80', Lecky A. ↓, O'Conchubhair D. ↑,
82', McGee E. 🟨,
86', Shields C. ↓, Mulgrew J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 5th in the Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 1.
Carrick Rangers has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Linfield is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Linfield could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Linfield is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Carrick Rangers has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:48 (averaging 0.8:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carrick Rangers against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:14 goals (averaging 1.1:1.6 per game).
United Kingdom
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Gartside N. (G) 
Brennan R. 
Moore K. 
Maciulaitis N. 
Moore J. 
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