The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 58.1%
Draw 23.8%
Club León 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.5%
19.5%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.6%
19.2%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruz Azul's form might have worsened.
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruz Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Cruz Azul - Club León Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Godinez A. (G) 7. Angeles L. 33. Chavarin A. 23. Gutierrez I. 10. Lemos S. 8. Lomeli A. 9. Martinez A. 2. Miranda V. 3. Robe L. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 19. Valdez V. (C)
23. Acuna N. S. (G) 27. Aleman I. 34. Aleman V. 8. Bravo L. R. (C) 14. Camargo A. 5. Diaz B. 20. Garcia L. 17. Pinilla F. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A. 6. Sanchez M. 15. Soto K.
Substitutes
14. Blackwood D. 13. Calderon D. 15. Grimaldo N. 5. Gutierrez D. 17. Kirsch-Downs C. 16. Martinez L. 21. Martinez R. 60. Osorio H. 20. Salmoran D. 1. Villeda M. (G)
24. Adu B. 33. Barrientos Y. 1. Buenfil N. R. (G) 18. Carter T. 22. Cortes S. 29. Jasso K. 12. Lien Le C. 4. Lozada A. 26. Ramirez A. 21. Villanueva A.
Coaches
Testas D.
Corona A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Rodriguez Perez Y. 🟨,
31', Diaz B. 🟨,
38', Robe L. 🟨,
45+1', Chavarin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Rodriguez Perez Y. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
52', Lemos S. ↓, Calderon D. ↑,
56', Aleman I. ↓, Carter T. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Carter T. ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, Garcia L. ⚽,
69', Angeles L. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Chavarin A. ⚽,
79', Rausch Tamayo M. A. ↓, Cortes S. ↑,
79', Garcia L. ↓, Adu B. ↑,
88', Adu B. 🟨,
90+1', Soto K. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
90+1', Pinilla F. ↓, Lien Le C. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Cruz Azul is a strong favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).