The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Necaxa 5.7%
Draw 9.6%
Cruz Azul 84.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
5%
9.1%
85.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Necaxa - Cruz Azul Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meza Acosta A. L. (G) 16. Perez J. 18. Cervantes Z. 2. Danae Gutierrez Acosta A. 23. Navarro Flores A. A. 14. Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T. 76. Cortez D. 22. Terzian Jensen A. 12. Isabel Melendez Villarreal A. 27. Porras S. (C) 4. Cavanaugh M.
1. Villeda M. (G) 68. San Roman S. 3. Ruth H. 2. Miranda V. 70. Rose I. 8. Lomeli A. 19. Valdez V. (C) 7. Angeles L. 17. Montano Osuna M. C. 29. Kanu U. 9. Martinez A.
Substitutes
24. Avalos L. 69. Coronado B. 5. De Leon L. A. A. 54. Hernandez A. 21. Navarro Vargas A. Y. 33. Plascencia S. 67. Ponce D. 31. Sanchez D. (G) 63. Uriostegui D.
20. Ceren B. 18. Cruz B. 28. Garcia A. 13. Garcia D. 14. Leon M. 4. Sanchez T. 12. Solis O. (G) 52. Suarez Alonso V. 26. Torres A.
Coaches
Sanchez G. H.
Gutierrez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Navarro Flores A. A. 🟨,
31', Lomeli A. 🟨,
37', Danae Gutierrez Acosta A. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Martinez A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lomeli A. ↓, Ceren B. ↑,
46', Montano Osuna M. C. ↓, Cruz B. ↑,
60', Perez J. ↓, De Leon L. A. A. ↑,
60', Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T. ↓, Navarro Vargas A. Y. ↑,
62', Angeles L. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Martinez A. ⚽, Ceren B. (A),
76', Terzian Jensen A. ↓, Coronado B. ↑,
84', Porras S. 🟨,
85', Cortez D. ↓, Ponce D. ↑,
85', Porras S. ↓, Avalos L. ↑,
86', Leon M. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', Martinez A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 9th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
Necaxa has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cruz Azul has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Necaxa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cruz Azul enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:20 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Necaxa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:11 goals (averaging 1.1:1.6 per game).