Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)

Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Pachuca		Monterrey

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.5	3.4
	1.84	3.77	3.71
	1.57	4.28	5.05	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.8	3.68	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.67)	3.73 ↓ (3.94)	3.86 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
51.5%

Draw
24.7%

Monterrey
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

22.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pachuca - Monterrey Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barreras E. (G) 25. Aline Gomes 15. Caicedo K. 9. Corral V. (C) 48. Fragoso Garcia A. A. 26. Garcia Ramirez M. P. 45. Ibarra B. 14. Mauleon M. 3. Ohale O. 19. Pereira A. 2. Robles K.	28. Manrique P. (G) 7. Burkenroad C. 14. Calderon A. 33. Cazares C. 23. del Campo V. 22. Garcia D. (C) 17. Garcia L. 6. Martinez L. 2. Monroy D. 27. Servin F. 18. Veloz A.
Substitutes
23. Flores D. 13. Godinez A. 22. Lopes C. (G) 47. Martinez A. 10. Nicosia N. 6. Nieto K. 28. Valadez Alvidrez J. Y. 33. Valera S. 21. Vance M.	13. Bernal K. 9. Gielnik E. 10. Perez N. 24. Restrepo M. 3. Sanchez T. 12. Seoposenwe J. 15. Simental S. 30. Soto A. 25. Tajonar P. (G) 11. Vargas V.
Coaches
Torres O.	Miquel A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Aline Gomes ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Veloz A. ↓, Seoposenwe J. ↑,
57', Garcia Ramirez M. P. 🟨,
59', Martinez L. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
61', Garcia Ramirez M. P. ↓, Nieto K. ↑,
68', Mauleon M. ↓, Nicosia N. ↑,
71', Servin F. ↓, Restrepo M. ↑,
71', Burkenroad C. ↓, Gielnik E. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Corral V. ⚽,
78', Pereira A. ↓, Valadez Alvidrez J. Y. ↑,
78', Garcia L. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
84', Valadez Alvidrez J. Y. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Monterrey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pachuca might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
03.05.26	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Club America - Pachuca	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Pachuca - Club León	5:4 ✺
02.04.26	Santos Laguna - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW
- CF Monterrey Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
02.05.26	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	4:0 ✺
29.04.26	Cruz Azul - Monterrey	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	0:3 ✺
05.04.26	Juárez - Monterrey	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Monterrey - UNAM	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
27.03.26	Pachuca - Monterrey	0:1
22.09.25	Monterrey - Pachuca	0:2
16.07.25	Monterrey - Pachuca	0:1
05.05.25	Pachuca - Monterrey	4:1
02.05.25	Monterrey - Pachuca	1:0
06.03.25	Monterrey - Pachuca	2:2
18.11.24	Monterrey - Pachuca	4:1

Pachuca - Monterrey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide