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Current Win Probability
Monterrey 51.8%
Draw 24%
Chivas Guadalajara 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
24.8%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
23.4%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Manrique P. (G) 13. Bernal K. 7. Burkenroad C. 33. Cazares C. 34. Daiane 22. Garcia D. (C) 17. Garcia L. 6. Martinez L. 24. Restrepo M. 12. Seoposenwe J. 15. Simental S.
12. Felix Castro B. M. (C) 23. Casarez J. A. 24. Cervantes A. 5. Ferral C. 3. Godinez D. 16. Gonzalez E. 8. Jaramillo C. 21. Lopez S. 7. Montero C. 9. Valenzuela G. 17. Villarreal N.
Substitutes
23. del Campo V. 21. Fernandez A. 9. Gielnik E. 10. Perez N. 3. Sanchez T. 27. Servin F. 30. Soto A. 25. Tajonar P. (G) 11. Vargas V. 18. Veloz A.
22. Castro D. 14. De La Rosa J. 1. Espino C. (G) 15. Esquivias I. 11. Franco Y. 60. Gonzalez V. 10. Iturbide A. 27. Lopez A. 25. Montoya J. 30. Salazar E.
Coaches
Miquel A.
Contreras A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Garcia L. 🟨,
39', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Seoposenwe J. ↓, Veloz A. ↑,
61', Simental S. 🟨,
70', Simental S. ↓, Sanchez T. ↑,
70', Martinez L. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
77', Cervantes A. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
81', Burkenroad C. ↓, Gielnik E. ↑,
84', Gonzalez E. ↓, De La Rosa J. ↑,
87', Casarez J. A. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
90+3', Ferral C. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2.
Monterrey has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Guadalajara is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Monterrey is a strong favorite.
We predict that Monterrey will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).